<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 40.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.5" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">三大股指平台跳水，击穿年线，周线收出长阴线。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">（一）、基本面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 40.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.5" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">基本面不再详述，管理层“防通胀、紧缩”不松口，<SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年的底部没到。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">（二）、技术面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">周线</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">——</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">目前三大股指周线，上证和沪深300均已死叉4周，深指死叉5周</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">。无论上证、沪深<SPAN lang=EN-US>300</SPAN>，还是深指周线都进入下跌组合周期下跌五到七周出现止跌反弹时间。表现在日线上：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">目前三大股指日线均死叉或者腾空而下五个交易日，也开始进入下跌组合周期中连续下跌五到七日，并且已经逼近<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="1" Day="25" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>25</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>低点<SPAN lang=EN-US>2661.45</SPAN>附近，这里离<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="9" Day="30" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>缺口，也近在咫尺。所以，短期<SPAN lang=EN-US>,</SPAN>不管是否补掉缺口（补与不补，效果不一样，下周分析），时间和空间上都预示新的一周将会出现反弹。这次反弹，也是在年线附近展开震荡，第一次反弹，将会在年线附近受阻，总体上，中期需要在年线附近构筑新的大型平台。平台之后会如何？<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">目前大旱，国外也已经出现，农产品继续涨价看来不可避免，那么<SPAN lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN>就暂时无法回落，房价也还没有松动，所以，上半年结束，政策松动，几乎不可能，那么下一个政策的重要时间窗口就在三季度末或者结束的时候，也就是下一个时间窗口就在<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>月底到<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>月初，那时才是政策松动的时候，也是<SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年见底的时候。（因时间关系，中长线月线对应分析，请看下周总结。）<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">《赢在股市<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>》中详细讲解的<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>周线是我们的生命线，是天堂和地狱的分界线。长中短期怎么运行，我们走一步看一步，但是只要我们始终用<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>周线来当我们的武器，我们就会得到很好的保护。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">二、基本面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">05</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">23</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、童道驰：国际板准备工作比较充分；2）、上网电价上调2分钱 扬汤止沸应对煤价狂飙；今年大面积电荒提前到来电价迎来上调窗口期；4）、希腊病情恶化 欧元伤痕累累；5）、综述：美国股市连续第三周下跌；纽约原油期货收盘上涨1.1% 收于99.49美元；纽约黄金期货上涨1.1% 收盘突破1500美元。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">05</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">24</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、今夏全国电力缺口预计达3千万千瓦可能创新高；2）、资金面吃紧三年期央票或再停发；3）、欧债危机拖累资本市场 全球遭遇黑色星期一；4）、十二五水利投资超7000亿元 将着力构建四大体系；长江中下游粮食产区旱情推升粮价上涨预期；5）、综述：道指收跌1.05% 纳指下挫1.58%；纽约原油期货收盘下跌2.4% 报每桶97.70美元；纽约黄金期货收盘上涨0.4% 报1515.40美元。</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">05</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">25</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、首季双顺差收窄国际收支趋平衡；2）、多家国际投行预测中国经济</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">降温</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">；3）、南方大米价格普涨旱情未解施压5月CPI；国际板脚步已近 又到配置券商股时；十二五水利投资超7000亿元 将着力构建四大体系；4）、综述：道指收跌0.2% 纳指下滑0.46%；纽约原油期货收盘上涨1.9% 报每桶99.59美元；纽约黄金期货收盘上涨0.5% 报1523.30美元。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">05</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">26</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、美联储高层称下半年或退出部分刺激政策；2）、银行间资金利率全线超5% 存准率上调概率降低；3）、包钢稀土获批建包头稀土产品交易所；4）、旱情或导致5月CPI继续飙高。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">05</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">27</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、银行动态PE不足8倍 A股估值渐与国际接轨；2）、煤炭工业</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">十二五</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">规划拓宽相关公司发展空间；3）、高盛月初唱空月底唱多大宗商品上蹿下跳过5月；4）、蔬菜价格大幅反弹 5月CPI或创34个月新高；5）、综述：道指微涨0.07% 纳指收高0.78%；纽约原油期货收盘下跌1.1% 报每桶100.23美元；纽约黄金期货收盘下跌0.3% 报1522.80美元。</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"></B></P> 谢谢老师! <P>先顶后看</P> <P><STRONG><FONT face=宋体 color=#800000 size=5>下一个时间窗口就在<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>月底到<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>月初，那时才是政策松动的时候，也是<SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年见底的时候。</FONT></STRONG></P>
<P><STRONG><FONT face=宋体 color=#800000 size=5>支持。</FONT></STRONG></P> <P>支持楼主，我是你忠实的小散。你建几个群供我们在线交流就比较完美了。啥也别说。顶</P> 顶了在看 大师要回过头来看，看了老师的5月2日的周评，现在回过头来看，是非常正确地，准确的！也渴望老师的这次反弹预测正确，准确！谢谢老师在关键时刻给我们方向！ 支持老师，白天没时间看，只能晚上来学习老师的理论和技术. DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD 支持楼主，我是你忠实的小散。
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