<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 40.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.5" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">清明节前一周，三大股指震荡回落，收出放量周阴线。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">（一）、基本面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">周五公布的<SPAN lang=EN-US>PMI</SPAN>止跌回升，引发周五下午下午股指不断走高。四月加息等不到<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月中下旬左右，清明节就早早的来临了，<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="4" Day="10" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>左右将要公布<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月份<SPAN lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN>，这次加息又是赶在<SPAN lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN>公布之前。可以看出，<SPAN lang=EN-US>PMI</SPAN>止跌回升，经济向好，即将公布的<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月份<SPAN lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN>又预期破<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>，所以继续加息来抑制通胀就又来临了。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">2010</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">年<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>月份以来，这次已经是第四次加息了，这次会给市场带来什么样的影响？<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">（二）、技术面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">目前三大股指周线，上证和沪深300已经金叉五周，深指金叉四周。上证和沪深300无论是10周线还是MACD趋势，都是继续向上，深指10周线继续向上，MACD继续处于横盘互相纠缠阶段。中期方向选择时间窗口在周线金叉之后的第八到第十个交易周附近，暂时还没有到来，加息能够促成中期选择快一些明朗吗？<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">清明节前一周，深指死叉运行完毕一个组合周期腾空而下，上证和沪深300运行完毕一个组合周期快速金叉到死叉，周五的阳吞阴能否促成上证形成MACD双底走势？<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1、上证目前已经是两度冲击3000点，均无功而返，清明节后如果能够低开高走，并且第三次攻击3000点，就能促成上证日线双底成功二次金叉，为周线第八到第十个交易周腾空而起做准备，也能改变深指周线DIF目前逼近MACD即将死叉的走势，那么中线股指将会上涨逼近深指2009年8月、12月和2010年11月三高点。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">2、清明节后股指低开低走，深指周线就会确认金叉到死叉的转变成立，周线级别的中级震荡下跌就开始了。加息就促成了中期选择提前到来。对深指是三次回探60日均线，中期来看，深指再度失守60日均线支持中期震荡下跌。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">加息后的第一个交易日的走势，往往并不能真正反应市场的真正走势，所以，我们还是要关注近期【上证近期3000点】多空的争夺，和【深指60日均线】多空的争夺。这是空间上关系到中期走势的两个重要技术参考。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">二、基本面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">03</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">28</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、前两月全国工业利润增长34.3%；2）、工信部首提大力发展智能电网和特高压；节能与新能源汽车产业规划即将公布；3）、综述：道指收高0.41% 纳指上涨0.24%；美元走强促纽约黄金期货收盘下跌；纽约原油期货收盘小幅下跌0.2%。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">03</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">29</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、提高约束性目标工信部</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">加码</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">节能减排；2）、央行：保持合理的社会融资规模和货币总量；3）、周正庆：营造资本市场</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">慢牛</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">局面；4）、央行今发990亿1年期央票发行量创新高。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">03</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">30</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、资金面宽松超预期 4月或现密集调控；2）、光伏业2015年装机目标有望升至10GW；3）、发改委公布今年环保目标 节能减排政策措施有望密集出台；4）、机械工业</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">十二五</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">规划出炉；5）、综述：道指收高0.67% 纳指上扬0.96%；纽约黄金期货收低 风险偏好升温；纽约原油收于104美元上方。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">03</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">31</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、五大国家级专项规划有望上半年出台；2）、科技部明确新能源产业支持重点；3）、综述：道指收高0.6% 纳指上涨0.7%；纽约金价小幅收涨 盘中再演过山车行情。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">04</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">01</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、CPI或再破五 加息预期增强；2）、稀有金属继续总量控制 三矿产勘探开采暂不放开；3）、水利部力捧高效节水灌溉亿亩新增工程全面启动；4）、综述：美股连涨三季 道指Q1季上涨6.4%；纽约金价收于1439.9美元 创收盘价历史新高；NYMEX原油期货报收于106.72美元创两年半新高。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"></B></P> 谢谢 <STRONG><FONT color=#800000 size=5 face=宋体>加息能够促成中期选择快一些明朗</FONT></STRONG> 谢谢老师分析。 <P>先顶后看</P>
<P> </P> 谢谢老师 ffffffffffffffffffffff 谢谢老师！ <STRONG><FONT face=宋体 color=#800000 size=5>清明节后如果能够低开高走,</FONT></STRONG> 非常感谢老师的精彩点评。 dddddddddddddddddddddd 谢谢老师
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