连连涨 发表于 2011-3-21 18:25

如何有效的发现老鼠仓<BR><BR><BR>根据进攻型均线组合形态编制<BR><BR><BR>挖“老鼠仓:<BR><BR>为了能顺利实现坐庄,市场中的一些主力庄家在临拉升股票前,往往会提前将一些消息通知相关的个人和机构,也有部分操盘手会将消息透露给亲朋好友,使他们在第二天早上集合竞价时,于极低的价格或跌停板处填买单,然后在竞价时或盘中瞬间把股价打下去,使预埋的买单得以成交。这个过程持续时间很短,为了避免被其他人低价成交,往往以散户来不及反应的速度迅速把股价恢复到正常的交易通道里。表现在k线形态上是留下一根长长的下影线,有时候也会在开盘的时候就出现大幅跳低开盘的现象,然后在盘中形成大阳线走势形态。,对于这类不属于机构本身的,是通过一定关系来实现低价位成交的仓位,俗称:“老鼠仓”,投资者短线及时跟进往往会有一段快速的利润空间。 <BR><BR><BR><BR>技术特征:<BR><BR>1、以全天最低价和全天均价(个股成交额/个股成交量)相比,当最低价低于全天均价10%以上时,可以确认K线基本形态成立。<BR>2、这种K线的表现形式有两种:一种是长下影线,另一种是大幅跳低开盘形成的长阳线。<BR>3、这种K线的出现背景是该上市公司并没有遭遇特大实质性利空,股价走势大多处于低位徘徊或温和上涨中,盘中的瞬间暴跌没有任何预兆。瞬间暴跌结束后股价迅速恢复原有走势,暴跌不会产生丝毫负面影响。<BR>4、“老鼠仓”的K线形态一般出现在股价即将拉升之际,而且,在这种K线形成后的一段时间里,股价会表现出良好走势。<BR><BR><BR><BR>风险防范:<BR><BR>这种K线形态的短线操作风险是客观存在的,为了防止主力资金为了出货而故意表现出“老鼠仓”形的K线形态,还需要采取以下的研判方法:<BR>1、为了分清主力是否有出货的企图,可以采用当天涨幅作为筛选工具,判别主力是否急于拉升。经过测算当涨幅达到1.2%以上时最佳,这是主力急于拉升股价。<BR>2、为了辨别主力是否有出货的空间。使用均线系统作为判断工具,“老鼠仓”形的K线形态成立当天的最低价要比5天移动平均价低7.9%。<BR>3、为了判断主力是否有出货的量能,必须参考成交量。如果在上冲过程中量能放的过大过快,就要当心主力是否在出货,如果量能处于温和状态,那么,“老鼠仓”形的K线走势的最后一个技术条件也成立了。<BR><BR><BR>总结这三个公式一般成功率大概为55%-57%左右,大家可以测试一下。比较适合波段操作,请设好止损位,请不要用于抄底。<BR><BR>什么是老鼠仓?<BR><BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; 北京大学教授宋国青有一个堪称经典解释。老鼠仓是指庄家在用公有资金在拉升股价之前,先用自己个人(机构负责人,操盘手及其亲属,关系户)的资金在低位建仓,待用公有资金拉升到高位后个人仓位率先卖出获利,当然,最后亏损的是公家资金。 大家都知道,中国股市的特色就是无庄不成股,而老鼠仓就存在于这些大大小小的庄股当中。券商是庄股中的主力队员,利用自身具有融资的天然优势,从社会各方面融入大量资金坐庄拉升股票。坐庄本来是为了赚钱盈利的,但券商坐庄很少有真正赚钱的,原因就在于券商把股票拉升后,大量底部埋仓的老鼠仓蜂拥出货,券商又在高位接盘。这样的结果就是券商亏损累累,老鼠仓赚个钵满盆满。这便是当今券商被掏空的主要形式。<BR><BR><BR>这个解释应该更容易理解:<BR><BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; 为了能顺利实现坐庄,市场中的一些主力庄家在临拉升股票前,往往会提前将一些消息通知相关的个人和机构,也有部分操盘手会将消息透露给亲朋好友,使他们在第二天早上集合竞价时,于极低的价格或跌停板处填买单,然后在竞价时或盘中瞬间把股价打下去,使预埋的买单得以成交。这个过程持续时间很短,为了避免被其他人低价成交,往往以散户来不及反应的速度迅速把股价恢复到正常的交易通道里。表现在k线形态上是留下一根长长的下影线,有时候也会在开盘的时候就出现大幅跳低开盘的现象,然后在盘中形成大阳线走势形态。,对于这类不属于机构本身的,是通过一定关系来实现低价位成交的仓位,俗称:“老鼠仓”,投资者短线及时跟进往往会有一段快速的利润空间。<BR><BR>{老鼠仓主图}<BR>ma5:MA(CLOSE,5),colorf00ff0;<BR>ma13:MA(CLOSE,13),colorwhite;<BR>ma60:MA(CLOSE,60),linethick2,coloryellow;<BR>ma90:ma(c,90),linethick2,colorf0f000;<BR>ma120:MA(CLOSE,120),color00ff00;<BR>aa:=cross(ma(c,5),ma(c,20)) and&nbsp; cross(ma(c,5),ma(c,30)) and cross(ma(c,5),ma(c,60));<BR>bb:=ma(c,60)&gt;ma(c,10) and cross(ma(c,10),ma(c,30)) and ma(c,30)&gt;ma(c,20) and abs(ma(c,60)-ma(c,20))/ma(c,20)&lt;0.05;<BR>cc:=ma(c,30)&gt;ma(c,5) and cross(ma(c,5),ma(c,20)) and ma(c,20)&gt;ma(c,10){, coloryellow};<BR>dd:=abs((ma(c,5)-ma(c,10))+(ma(c,10)-ma(c,20))+(ma(c,20)-ma(c,30)))&lt;0.02 and ma(c,5)&gt;ref(ma(c,5),1) and ma(c,10)&gt;ref(ma(c,10),1);<BR>ee:=ma(c,20)&gt;ma(c,5) and cross(ma(c,5),ma(c,10)) and ma(c,10)&gt;ma(c,60) and abs(ma(c,20)-ma(c,60))/ma(c,60)&lt;0.05;<BR>ff:=aa or bb or cc or dd or ee ;<BR>天堂星雷达:=ff and FILTER( ff,8){,linethick0};<BR>drawicon(天堂星雷达,l,1);<BR>drawtext(天堂星雷达,l*0.99,'雷达'),coloryellow;<BR>stickline(天堂星雷达,h,l,0.5,0),coloryellow;<BR>stickline(天堂星雷达,o,c,6,1),linethick2,coloryellow;<BR>aa1:=AMOUNT/vol;<BR>bb1:=l&lt;aa1*0.9;<BR>cc1:=(c-ref(c,1))/ref(c,1)*100&gt;1.2;<BR>dd1:=l&lt;ma(c,5)*0.921;<BR>ee1:=vol&lt;ma(v,5)*1.5;<BR>ff1:bb1 and cc1 and dd1 and ee1,linethick0;<BR>drawtext(ff1,l*0.99,'老鼠仓'),color00ff00;<BR>stickline(ff1,h,l,0.5,0),color00ff00;<BR>stickline(ff1,o,c,6,1),linethick2,color00ff00;<BR><BR><BR>{老鼠仓副图}<BR>GJ:=AMOUNT/VOL/100; <BR>MA5:MA(GJ,5),COLORRED; <BR>MA13:MA(GJ,13); <BR>PARTLINE(MA5,MA5&lt;REF(MA5,1)),COLORGREEN;&nbsp; &nbsp; <BR>MA60:=MA(C,60);<BR>MA90:=MA(C,90);<BR>MA120:=MA(CLOSE,120);<BR>AA:=CROSS(MA(C,5),MA(C,20))AND CROSS(MA(C,5),MA(C,30))AND CROSS(MA(C,5),MA(C,60));<BR>BB:=MA(C,60)&gt;MA(C,10)AND CROSS(MA(C,10),MA(C,30))AND MA(C,30)&gt;MA(C,20)AND ABS(MA(C,60)-MA(C,20))/MA(C,20)&lt;0.05;<BR>CC:=MA(C,30)&gt;MA(C,5)AND CROSS(MA(C,5),MA(C,20))AND MA(C,20)&gt;MA(C,10);<BR>DD:=ABS((MA(C,5)-MA(C,10))+(MA(C,10)-MA(C,20))+(MA(C,20)-MA(C,30)))&lt;0.02 AND MA(C,5)&gt;REF(MA(C,5),1)AND MA(C,10)&gt;REF(MA(C,10),1);<BR>EE:=MA(C,20)&gt;MA(C,5)AND CROSS(MA(C,5),MA(C,10))AND MA(C,10)&gt;MA(C,60)AND ABS(MA(C,20)-MA(C,60))/MA(C,60)&lt;0.05;<BR>FF:=AA OR BB OR CC OR DD OR EE;<BR>AA1:=AMOUNT/V;<BR>BB1:=L&lt;AA1*0.9;<BR>CC1:=(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1)*100&gt;1.2;<BR>DD1:=L&lt;MA(C,5)*0.921;<BR>EE1:=V&lt;MA(V,5)*1.5;<BR>FF1:=BB1 AND CC1 AND DD1 AND EE1;<BR>DRAWTEXT(FF1,L*0.99,' 老鼠仓'),COLORYELLOW;<BR>STICKLINE(FF1,H,L,0.5,0),COLORMAGENTA;<BR>STICKLINE(FF1,O,C,7,0),COLORMAGENTA

连连涨 发表于 2011-3-21 18:27

<P>dzh2老鼠仓源码(主图) <BR><BR>SAT:=IF((AMOUNT/C)/(HHV(AMOUNT,20)/HHV(C,20))*100&gt;100,100,(AMOUNT/C)/(HHV(AMOUNT,20)/HHV(C,20))*100); <BR>DRAWTEXTREL(12,5,''量能饱和度:''+NUMTOSTRN(SAT,0)),LINETHICK3,Color8000FF; <BR>AA10:MA(CLOSE,8),color0000FF; <BR>AA12:MA(CLOSE,12),color0000FF; <BR>BB10:=((ATAN((AA10 - REF(AA10,1))) * 3.1416) * 10); <BR>BB12:=((ATAN((AA12 - REF(AA12,1))) * 3.1416) * 10); <BR>MA13:=MA(CLOSE,13); <BR>FILLRGN(AA10,AA12,(((AA12 &lt;= AA10) AND (BB12 &gt;= 1)) AND (BB10 &gt;= 1))),Color0098FF; <BR>FILLRGN(AA10,AA12,(((AA12 &gt;= AA10) AND (BB10 &lt;= 1)) AND (BB10 &lt;= 1))),color00FF00; <BR>x1:=(C+L+H)/3; <BR>bb13:=atan(ema(x1,13)-ref(ema(x1,13),1))*3.1416*10; <BR>ema8:=ema(c,8); <BR>DRAWTEXT(filter(bb13&gt;1 and ema(x1,13)&gt;ref(ema(x1,8),1),10), <BR>ema8,''∠45上升''),colorwhite; <BR>压力:MA(REF(HHV(C,30),1),2),Color9DFFFF; <BR>支撑:MA(REF(LLV(C,30),1),2),ColorABFF46; <BR>AA1:=AMOUNT/V; <BR>BB1:=L&lt;AA1*0.9; <BR>CC1:=(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1)*100&gt;1.2; <BR>DD1:=L&lt;MA(C,5)*0.921; <BR>EE1:=V&lt;MA(V,5)*1.5; <BR>FF1:=BB1 AND CC1 AND DD1 AND EE1; <BR>DRAWTEXT(ff1,(LOW* 0.99),''老鼠仓''),Color4080FF; <BR>A51:=3*SMA((C-LLV(L,55))/(HHV(H,55)-LLV(L,55))*100,5,1)-2*SMA((C-LLV(L,55))/(HHV(H,55)-LLV(L,55))*100,5,1); <BR>黑马线:=EMA(A51,5); <BR>A54:=((C-LLV(L,21))/(HHV(H,21)-LLV(L,21)))*100; <BR>趋势线:=(MA(3*SMA(A54,6,1)-2*SMA(SMA(A54,5,1),5,1),2)); <BR>DRAWTEXT(CROSS(趋势线,0)AND 黑马线&lt;40,(HIGH* 0.97),''▲大黑马''),COLORYELLOW; <BR>LC:=REF(CLOSE,1); <BR>RSI:=((SMA(MAX((CLOSE - LC),0),3,1) / SMA(ABS((CLOSE - LC)),3,1)) * 100); <BR>FF:=EMA(CLOSE,3); <BR>MA15:=EMA(CLOSE,21); <BR>DRAWTEXT(CROSS(FF,MA15),(LOW * 0.99),''底背离''),ColorA6E500; <BR>DRAWTEXT(CROSS(88,RSI),(HIGH * 1.02),''顶背离''),Color1880FF; <BR>VAR2:=LLV(LOW,27); <BR>VAR3:=HHV(HIGH,34); <BR>VAR4:=EMA((CLOSE-Var2)/(Var3-Var2)*4,4)*25; <BR>注意买:=IF((Var4&lt;10),80,100); <BR>RSV:=(C-LLV(L,9))/(HHV(H,9)-LLV(L,9))*100; <BR>K:=SMA(RSV,3,1); <BR>D:=SMA(K,3,1); <BR>J:=3*K-2*D; <BR>超跌:=IF(J&lt;0,10,0); <BR>BDDD:=LLV(J,2)=LLV(J,8); <BR>买入:=IF(CROSS(J,REF(J+0.01,1)) AND BDDD AND J&lt;20,30,0); <BR>DRAWTEXT(买入 AND 注意买=100 AND 超跌=0,low,''短线''),Color8000FF; <BR>MTM:=C-REF(C,1); <BR>DX:=100*EMA(EMA(MTM,6),6)/EMA(EMA(ABS(MTM),6),6); <BR>买:=IF(LLV(DX,2)=LLV(DX,7) AND COUNT(DX&lt;0,2) AND CROSS(DX,MA(DX,2)),1,0); <BR>DRAWTEXT(filter(买=1,5),LOW-0.03,''拉升''),ColorFFDE00; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,OPEN,LOW,0.5,0 ),COLOR0000FF; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,HIGH,0.5 ,0 ),COLOR0000FF; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE,CLOSE,LOW,0.5 ,0 ),COLOR00FF00; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE,OPEN,HIGH,0.5 ,0 ),COLOR00FF00; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,7,0 ),COLORff7700; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,6,0 ),COLORff9900; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,5,0 ),COLORffbb00; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,4,0 ),COLORffcc00; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,3,0 ),COLORffdd00; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,2,0 ),COLORffee00; <BR>STICKLINE(OPEN&gt;=CLOSE ,CLOSE ,OPEN,1,0 ),COLORffFF00; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,7,0) ,COLOR000055; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,6,0) ,COLOR000066; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,5,0) ,COLOR000077; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,4,0) ,COLOR000099; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,3,0) ,COLOR0000bb; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,2,0) ,COLOR0000dd; <BR>STICKLINE(CLOSE&gt;OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN,1,0) ,COLOR0000ff; <BR>var9Q:=c= hhv(c,4)and (ref(c,1)&gt;=ref(c,2) or ref(c,1)&gt;=ref(c,3)) or ref(c,1)=hhv(c,4) and close&gt;=ref(c,2) or ref(c,2)=hhv(c,4) and ref(c,3)=llv(c,4) and c&gt;=ref(c,1) or ref(c,3)=hhv(c,4) and c&gt;=ref(c,1) and c&gt;=ref(c,2); <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,7,0),color000055; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,6,0),color000066; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,5,0),color000077; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,4,0),color000099; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,3,0),color0000bb; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,2,0),color0000dd; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(var9Q,c,(o+c)/2,1,0),color0000ff; <BR>varaQ:=c=hhv(c,4) and ref(c,1)=llv(c,4); <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,7,0),colorff11ff; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,6,0),colorff33ff; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,5,0),colorff55ff; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,4,0),colorff77ff; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,3,0),colorff99ff; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,2,0),colorffbbff; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varaQ,c,(o+c)/2,1,0),colorffddff; <BR>varbQ:=c=llv(c,4) and (ref(c,1)&lt;ref(c,2) or ref(c,1)&lt;ref(c,3)) or ref(c,1)=llv(c,4) and c&lt;ref(c,2) or ref(c,2)=llv(c,4) and ref(c,1)&lt;&gt;hhv(c,4) and c&lt;ref(c,1) or ref(c,3)=llv(c,4) and c&lt;ref(c,1) and c&lt;ref(c,2); <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,7,0),color333333; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,6,0),color555555; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,5,0),color777777; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,4,0),color999999; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,3,0),colorbbbbbb; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,2,0),colordddddd; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varbQ,c,(o+c)/2,1,0),colorffffff; <BR>varcQ:=ref(c,1)=llv(c,4) and c&gt;=ref(c,2) or ref(c,2)=llv(c,4) and ref(c,1)&lt;=ref(c,3) and ref(c,2)&lt;ref(c,4) and c&gt;=ref(c,1); <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,7,0),color003300; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,6,0),color005500; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,5,0),color007700; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,4,0),color009900; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,3,0),color00bb00; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,2,0),color00dd00; <BR>&nbsp; &nbsp; stickline(varcQ,o,(o+c)/2,1,0),color00ff00; <BR>vardQ:=ref(c,1)=hhv(c,4) and c&lt;ref(c,2) or (ref(c,2)=hhv(c,4) and ref(c,1)&gt;ref(c,3) or ref(c,3)=hhv(c,4) and ref(c,1)&gt;ref(c,2)) and ref(c,2)&gt;=ref(c,4) and c&lt;ref(c,1); <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,7,0),colorff1100; <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,6,0),colorff3300; <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,5,0),colorff5500; <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,4,0),colorff7700; <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,3,0),colorff9900; <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,2,0),colorffbb00; <BR>stickline(vardQ,o,(o+c)/2,1,0),colorffdd00;</P>
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连连涨 发表于 2011-3-21 18:28

<P>老鼠仓副图指标(源码)<BR>个股趋势:=MA(C,1)/MA(REF(C,18),18)*100;<BR>大盘趋势:=MA(INDEXC,1)/MA(REF(INDEXC,18),18)*100;<BR>位置:=(个股趋势-大盘趋势),LINETHICK0;<BR>STICKLINE(位置&gt;=0,2,-2,10,0),COLORC0C0C0;<BR>STICKLINE(位置&lt;0,2,-2,10,0),COLORFF0000;<BR>VAR1:=EMA(EMA(CLOSE,13),13);<BR>控盘:= (VAR1-REF(VAR1,1))/REF(VAR1,1)*1000,COLORFFCCCC,POINTDOT;<BR>STICKLINE(控盘&lt;0,控盘,0,4,0),COLORWHITE;<BR>无控盘:0,COLORWHITE;<BR>STICKLINE(控盘&gt;REF(控盘,1) AND 控盘&gt;0,控盘,0,4,1),COLORRED;<BR>有控盘: 0,COLORRED;<BR>VAR2:=100*WINNER(CLOSE*0.95);<BR>STICKLINE(控盘&lt;REF(控盘,1) AND 控盘&gt;0,控盘,0,4,0),COLOR00FF00;<BR>出货: 0,COLOR00FF00;<BR>STICKLINE(VAR2&gt;50 AND COST(85)&lt;CLOSE AND 控盘&gt;0,控盘,0,4,0),COLORFF00FF;<BR>高控盘: 0,COLORFF00FF;<BR>A10:=CROSS(控盘,0);<BR>开始控盘:IF(A10,3,0),COLORYELLOW;<BR>AA:=WINNER(CLOSE+CLOSE*15/100)*100;<BR>BB:=WINNER(CLOSE+CLOSE*0/100)*100;<BR>CC:=AA-BB;<BR>DD:=(WINNER(CLOSE-CLOSE*0.1/100)-WINNER(CLOSE-CLOSE*15/100))*100;<BR>A3:=VOL/WINNER(LOW);<BR>A4:=REF(HHV(CLOSE,120),1);<BR>A5:=REF(LLV(CLOSE,120),1);<BR>V1:=REF(C,1);<BR>V2:=SMA(MAX(C-V1,0),6,1)/SMA(ABS(C-V1),6,1)*100;<BR>DRAWICON(IF(CROSS(81,V2),1,0),H*1.01,10),COLORYELLOW;<BR>AA1:=AMOUNT/V;<BR>BB1:=L&lt;AA1*0.9;<BR>CC1:=(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1)*100&gt;1.2;<BR>DD1:=L&lt;MA(C,5)*0.921;<BR>EE1:=V&lt;MA(V,5)*1.5;<BR>FF1:=BB1 AND CC1 AND DD1 AND EE1;<BR>DRAWTEXT(FF1,L*0.99,' 老鼠仓'),COLORYELLOW;<BR>STICKLINE(FF1,H,L,0.5,0),;<BR>STICKLINE(FF1,O,C,7,0),;<BR></P><BR>http://www.88gs.com/soft/UploadPic/2010-9/201091113312254225.png

每天赚 发表于 2012-3-26 09:01

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